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Red41
609110.2
612014.4
499422.1
Blue17
87677.2
77163.8
608514.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5425010203040506070804117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.4
22.422.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End14.5
red by 7.3
6085
#14
14.80.7
15.214.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End3.6
Second
6120
#27
14.40.4
14.113.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 7.2
8767
#38
7.20.7
7.97.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End2.7
Third
6091
#24
10.20.4
10.610.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End4.4
red by 6.4
7716
#40
3.80.7
4.53.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed