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Red17
608514.8
722519.2
569511.7
Blue71
550526.8
553811.0
728915.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5346204060801771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.22.1
21.419.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
blue by 7.6
26.81.5
25.226.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End10.5
Second
6085
#14
14.82.1
10.98.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End3.6
blue by 1.1
7289
#17
15.91.5
10.512.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End6.0
Third
5695
#26
11.72.1
16.114.0
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.6
red by 0.7
5538
#22
11.01.5
8.19.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned