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Red100
400334.9
191836.0
611412.4
Blue96
205431.8
8529.2
14113.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897705010015010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.4
35.636.0
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End12.0
red by 4.2
31.80.4
31.331.8
Auto9.1
Teleop11.1
End11.6
Second
34.90.4
34.534.9
Auto11.3
Teleop20.4
End3.1
red by 5.7
85
#3
29.20.4
28.829.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Third
6114
#17
12.40.4
12.012.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 1.6
141
#24
13.90.4
13.513.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End5.1