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Red54
567531.5
86124.2
43378.6
Blue41
592719.3
345817.0
611412.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413002060801005441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#10
31.50.6
24.725.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End4.1
red by 12.2
19.30.7
9.510.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End5.0
Second
4337
#27
8.60.6
7.68.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.9
blue by 8.3
3458
#12
17.00.7
11.011.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Third
8612
#35
4.20.6
5.15.7
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End1.0
blue by 8.2
6114
#17
12.40.7
9.210.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned