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Red21
838210.1
125410.1
345817.0
Blue47
592719.3
445317.6
64283.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632010204050602147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3458
#12
17.00.3
11.811.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
blue by 2.3
19.31.2
10.211.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End5.0
Second
8382
#32
10.10.5
5.75.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 7.5
17.61.2
14.916.1
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End9.1
Third
1254
#18
10.10.3
7.77.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End3.9
red by 6.5
6428
#30
3.61.2
3.74.9
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsEarned