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Red83
400334.9
28821.7
445317.6
Blue58
14113.9
567531.5
724810.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6749204060801001208358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.5
27.328.8
Auto11.3
Teleop20.4
End3.1
red by 3.4
5675
#10
31.50.7
27.628.3
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End4.1
Second
288
#13
21.71.5
16.718.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End5.2
red by 7.8
141
#24
13.90.7
10.110.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End5.1
Third
17.61.5
16.117.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End9.1
red by 7.1
7248
#31
10.51.1
10.211.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed