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Red45
550110.4
567531.5
611412.4
Blue62
525610.3
400334.9
10728.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53643040607080901001104562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#10
31.50.4
28.327.9
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End4.1
blue by 3.4
34.90.2
28.829.1
Auto11.3
Teleop20.4
End3.1
Second
6114
#17
12.40.4
9.99.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 15.8
107
#6
28.10.4
21.021.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.6
End6.5
Third
5501
#28
10.40.4
12.512.1
Auto5.9
Teleop0.8
End3.7
red by 0.1
5256
#19
10.30.2
8.68.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed58%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned