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Red30
561017.8
781011.3
54704.9
Blue93
205431.8
8529.2
86124.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35602040801003093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.4
18.017.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End8.7
blue by 13.9
31.82.6
25.928.5
Auto9.1
Teleop11.1
End11.6
Second
7810
#29
11.30.4
12.812.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.9
blue by 17.8
85
#3
29.22.6
23.326.0
Auto10.1
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Third
5470
#36
4.90.4
5.55.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End0.7
red by 0.8
8612
#35
4.22.6
4.26.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned