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Red52
611412.4
125410.1
28821.7
Blue35
345817.0
723411.0
550110.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384220305060705235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#13
21.71.0
19.120.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End5.2
red by 4.8
3458
#12
17.00.3
14.314.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Second
6114
#17
12.41.0
9.610.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.3
red by 1.4
7234
#26
11.00.3
12.412.2
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End3.0
Third
1254
#18
10.11.0
7.88.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End3.9
blue by 0.3
5501
#28
10.40.3
12.111.9
Auto5.9
Teleop0.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed