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Red63
28821.7
598016.3
8529.2
Blue61
776810.6
445317.6
567531.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697060657580856361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
29.20.1
26.726.5
Auto10.1
Teleop12.4
End6.7
blue by 2.3
5675
#10
31.50.3
31.831.5
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End4.1
Second
288
#13
21.70.1
22.121.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End5.2
red by 4.2
17.60.3
18.818.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End9.1
Third
5980
#14
16.30.1
16.316.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End3.2
red by 5.8
7768
#21
10.60.5
14.914.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsMissed