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Red36
776810.6
205431.8
611412.4
Blue37
445317.6
687710.7
295920.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62552040801001203637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.4
32.631.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.1
End11.6
red by 11.3
20.51.0
20.719.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.1
End6.6
Second
6114
#17
12.41.4
11.510.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 5.2
17.61.0
19.718.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End9.1
Third
7768
#21
10.61.7
13.011.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End3.8
blue by 0.1
6877
#23
10.71.3
12.211.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned