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Red68
191836.0
724810.5
525610.3
Blue56
205431.8
323413.0
687710.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55603040507080906856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.1
33.534.6
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End12.0
red by 4.2
31.80.3
31.230.9
Auto9.1
Teleop11.1
End11.6
Second
7248
#31
10.51.2
9.310.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End2.4
blue by 2.5
3234
#25
13.00.3
13.913.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Third
5256
#19
10.31.1
9.210.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 0.4
6877
#23
10.70.3
11.010.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsMissed