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Red70
567531.5
55628.3
612217.9
Blue54
838210.1
611412.4
610019.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6335020801001207054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#10
31.50.7
31.432.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End4.1
red by 12.5
6100
#16
19.00.9
17.518.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End5.1
Second
6122
#20
17.90.7
16.517.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.0
red by 5.5
6114
#17
12.40.9
10.111.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Third
5562
#33
8.30.8
7.58.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 1.8
8382
#32
10.11.1
9.010.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed