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Red63
295920.5
24412.4
561017.8
Blue36
28821.7
323413.0
550110.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444501001502006336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.1
13.815.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.1
End6.6
blue by 1.2
288
#13
21.70.4
17.216.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Second
17.81.1
15.216.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End8.7
red by 4.9
3234
#25
13.00.4
12.011.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Third
244
#15
12.41.1
12.813.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End3.8
red by 2.0
5501
#28
10.40.4
12.912.5
Auto5.9
Teleop0.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed