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Red34
483812.5
661823.1
653810.9
Blue16
590111.6
71887.2
25914.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432201030506070803416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.2
18.117.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End10.4
red by 11.5
11.60.5
8.37.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End3.3
Second
4838
#10
12.50.2
11.211.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End2.9
red by 5.4
7188
#25
7.20.5
10.710.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End2.5
Third
6538
#17
10.90.2
8.28.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 6.2
2591
#37
4.80.5
4.13.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed