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Red49
43903.4
25914.8
691419.4
Blue8
61903.3
81246.6
51974.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312201040506070498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.41.1
18.019.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End13.8
red by 12.8
8124
#36
6.60.9
9.68.7
Auto3.8
Teleop-0.6
End3.3
Second
2591
#37
4.81.1
4.96.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.6
red by 0.7
5197
#35
4.00.9
7.66.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Third
4390
#39
3.41.1
5.16.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.6
red by 0.1
6190
#41
3.30.9
4.53.6
Auto1.1
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed