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Red50
505036.0
590111.6
653810.9
Blue47
71962.6
360426.0
366828.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49540204060801005047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.2
31.031.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End13.2
red by 7.9
28.10.2
25.825.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End11.4
Second
11.60.2
7.78.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End3.3
blue by 14.4
26.00.2
21.321.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End10.2
Third
6538
#17
10.90.2
7.98.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 8.4
7196
#27
2.60.2
2.82.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsMissed