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Red14
78654.2
50655.4
82809.8
Blue28
51974.0
262024.8
59154.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13350204060801001428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#19
9.80.1
8.68.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End2.1
blue by 14.9
24.80.4
20.119.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End9.3
Second
5065
#21
5.40.1
3.63.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
red by 1.0
5915
#33
4.50.4
3.53.1
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.6
Third
7865
#30
4.20.1
3.23.1
Auto0.7
Teleop2.7
End0.7
red by 0.1
5197
#35
4.00.4
6.76.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed