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Red30
52635.8
691419.4
553111.1
Blue52
440521.3
71962.6
652813.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413502060803052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.5
19.118.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End13.8
blue by 1.9
4405
#11
21.31.2
19.620.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Second
5531
#32
11.10.5
10.09.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.5
blue by 2.7
6528
#15
13.81.2
11.212.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Third
5263
#38
5.80.5
8.58.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
red by 3.2
7196
#27
2.61.2
2.63.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed