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Red45
549817.1
653810.9
2807.1
Blue16
52635.8
483812.5
43903.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372401030506070804516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.8
16.317.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End11.5
red by 4.6
4838
#10
12.50.5
11.210.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Second
6538
#17
10.90.8
8.18.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 5.1
5263
#38
5.80.5
7.67.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Third
280
#20
7.10.8
8.39.1
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End4.3
red by 3.7
4390
#39
3.40.5
5.14.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
2%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned4%Hangar oddsMissed