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Red48
440521.3
60297.2
66159.7
Blue9
25914.8
55559.4
60895.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45230406080100489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#11
21.30.3
21.221.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End3.8
red by 11.9
5555
#22
9.41.0
10.29.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End3.9
Second
6615
#14
9.70.3
10.811.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End4.9
red by 4.3
6089
#24
5.51.0
8.47.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.2
End0.1
Third
6029
#26
7.20.3
7.78.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End1.4
red by 2.4
2591
#37
4.81.0
5.94.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed