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Red46
439514.9
55559.4
691419.4
Blue8
43823.6
52395.6
653810.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422010304050607080468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.41.1
17.318.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End13.8
red by 8.4
6538
#17
10.90.9
9.18.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Second
4395
#12
14.91.2
4.45.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End6.9
red by 9.3
5239
#28
5.61.0
7.96.9
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End1.9
Third
5555
#22
9.41.1
8.49.5
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End3.9
red by 5.8
4382
#34
3.60.9
4.94.0
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed