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Red35
55559.4
82809.8
440521.3
Blue25
608119.1
15284.7
2807.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453610203040506070803525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#11
21.30.4
21.020.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End3.8
red by 2.2
6081
#13
19.10.6
19.618.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Second
8280
#19
9.80.4
10.810.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End2.1
red by 2.8
280
#20
7.10.6
9.28.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End4.3
Third
5555
#22
9.40.4
9.69.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End3.9
red by 4.7
1528
#23
4.70.6
5.95.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed