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Red18
590111.6
43823.6
51974.0
Blue11
52635.8
61903.3
55559.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121121416182022241811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.60.1
11.711.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End3.3
red by 2.2
5555
#22
9.40.6
9.18.6
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End3.9
Second
5197
#35
4.00.1
4.14.0
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.0
blue by 1.8
5263
#38
5.80.6
6.45.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Third
4382
#34
3.60.1
3.73.6
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End0.5
red by 0.3
6190
#41
3.30.6
3.93.3
Auto1.1
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed