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Red79
360426.0
262024.8
82809.8
Blue42
366828.1
549817.1
60297.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67553040506080901007942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.2
26.426.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End10.2
blue by 2.1
28.10.2
28.428.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End11.4
Second
24.80.2
25.125.3
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End9.3
red by 7.7
17.10.2
17.317.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End11.5
Third
8280
#19
9.80.2
10.210.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End2.1
red by 2.7
6029
#26
7.20.2
7.47.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End1.4