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Red18
335733.8
438121.6
283212.4
Blue59
9045.0
357222.9
686119.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995301501859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.84.6
41.136.5
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End9.9
red by 10.9
22.90.2
27.227.4
Auto9.2
Teleop5.4
End8.3
Second
21.64.6
27.823.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 2.4
19.30.2
18.318.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End6.6
Third
2832
#12
12.44.6
18.013.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End1.2
red by 7.5
904
#14
5.00.2
10.110.4
Auto3.1
Teleop0.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned