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Red71
413021.7
516719.8
85820.2
Blue62
438121.6
22628.6
9045.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60552040801007162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.0
20.821.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End4.8
blue by 6.9
226
#5
28.60.6
26.527.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End11.6
Second
858
#10
20.21.0
17.518.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End5.4
blue by 1.5
21.60.6
21.021.6
Auto9.0
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
19.81.0
17.718.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End3.4
red by 14.8
904
#14
5.00.6
5.05.6
Auto3.1
Teleop0.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed