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Red64
283212.4
716619.3
516719.8
Blue67
357222.9
413021.7
438121.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487402040601001201406467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.0
18.719.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End3.4
blue by 3.1
22.90.1
22.822.9
Auto9.2
Teleop5.4
End8.3
Second
19.31.0
18.319.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End8.6
blue by 2.4
21.70.1
21.821.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End4.8
Third
2832
#12
12.41.0
11.412.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 9.2
21.60.1
21.621.6
Auto9.0
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsMissed