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Red43
516719.8
357222.9
686119.3
Blue32
496716.3
716619.3
22628.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76764050607080904332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.2
27.425.3
Auto9.2
Teleop5.4
End8.3
blue by 5.8
226
#5
28.62.6
27.324.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End11.6
Second
19.82.2
25.423.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End3.4
red by 0.5
19.32.6
19.617.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End8.6
Third
19.32.2
18.516.4
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End6.6
red by 3.0
4967
#11
16.32.6
24.021.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsMissed