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Red54
22628.6
413021.7
716619.3
Blue67
496716.3
335733.8
283212.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647402003004005006007005467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#5Sur
28.60.5
24.724.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End11.6
blue by 5.1
3357
#3Sur
33.80.1
34.134.0
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End9.9
Second
4130
#1Sur
21.70.5
19.719.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End4.8
red by 5.4
4967
#11Sur
16.30.1
21.421.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.4
Third
19.30.5
17.016.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End8.6
red by 6.9
2832
#12
12.40.1
12.512.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned