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Red30
438121.6
686119.3
38758.0
Blue14
496716.3
9045.0
283212.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484301001502002503003014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.0
19.718.7
Auto9.0
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 5.4
4967
#11
16.31.8
21.319.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.4
Second
19.31.0
15.514.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End6.6
red by 6.8
2832
#12
12.41.8
12.510.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Third
3875
#13
8.01.0
9.68.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.5
End3.0
red by 3.0
904
#14
5.01.8
6.95.1
Auto3.1
Teleop0.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed