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Red99
591332.1
517236.1
250217.0
Blue57
388319.5
284722.5
181612.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9653204060801201409957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.3
35.836.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.3
End7.0
red by 13.6
22.50.1
22.622.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.7
End8.0
Second
32.10.3
31.832.1
Auto11.6
Teleop14.3
End6.3
red by 12.6
19.50.1
19.619.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End9.9
Third
2502
#20
17.00.3
16.717.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End4.2
red by 4.2
1816
#14
12.80.1
12.912.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1