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Red68
388319.5
284722.5
181612.8
Blue50
753014.8
304215.3
48599.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642203050607080906850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.5
21.021.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.7
End8.0
red by 7.3
3042
#10
15.30.0
15.615.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Second
19.50.5
18.018.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End9.9
red by 4.7
7530
#16
14.80.0
15.215.2
Auto3.0
Teleop0.9
End10.9
Third
1816
#14
12.80.5
11.311.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1
red by 3.1
4859
#32
9.70.0
10.110.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End3.0