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Red31
478618.8
32989.0
298715.6
Blue59
282320.8
753014.8
247018.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36361020304050603159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#11
18.80.3
11.411.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End10.8
blue by 2.0
20.81.9
15.117.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End7.2
Second
2987
#41
15.60.3
15.014.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End4.2
blue by 2.6
18.31.9
9.211.1
Auto5.7
Teleop0.9
End11.7
Third
3298
#26
9.00.3
7.57.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End4.2
blue by 5.8
7530
#16
14.81.9
9.511.4
Auto3.0
Teleop0.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned