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Red32
75786.0
462311.8
422619.4
Blue34
466313.9
30546.0
298715.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443602060801003234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4226
#19
19.40.9
18.217.3
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 3.7
2987
#41
15.61.0
14.713.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End4.2
Second
4623
#45
11.80.9
13.012.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End3.8
blue by 2.1
4663
#17
13.91.0
12.511.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End9.2
Third
7578
#44
6.00.9
9.08.0
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End2.9
Level
3054
#35
6.01.0
7.76.7
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed