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Red39
24997.3
329712.1
5376.7
Blue27
21299.1
57208.0
613210.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24310102040506070803927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#33
12.11.7
9.611.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End6.0
red by 1.9
6132
#50Sur
10.30.1
11.110.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End2.9
Second
2499
#38
7.31.7
7.69.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End2.7
blue by 1.8
2129
#52
9.10.1
8.48.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End4.3
Third
537
#53
6.71.7
6.48.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End-1.6
blue by 1.3
5720
#48
8.00.1
8.68.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed