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Red15
37556.3
171410.3
250217.0
Blue16
28468.1
466313.9
25128.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343602060801001516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#20
17.01.9
15.914.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End4.2
red by 3.1
4663
#17
13.91.9
11.59.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End9.2
Second
1714
#47
10.31.9
9.88.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End5.3
red by 1.8
2512
#34
8.51.9
9.97.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.3
Third
3755
#40
6.31.9
6.04.1
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.1
End5.6
blue by 1.8
2846
#30
8.11.9
12.010.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed