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Red56
478618.8
675817.1
466313.9
Blue41
24997.3
125917.2
25128.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373101020506070805641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#11
18.82.4
12.514.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End10.8
red by 1.6
1259
#23
17.21.3
12.313.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End6.5
Second
6758
#15
17.12.4
12.214.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End11.3
red by 8.6
2512
#34
8.51.3
7.99.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.3
Third
4663
#17
13.92.4
9.512.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End9.2
red by 6.6
2499
#38
7.31.3
9.310.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsEarned