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Red23
388319.5
32989.0
48599.7
Blue18
181612.8
462411.5
310012.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423802060802318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.51.8
16.014.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End9.9
red by 6.7
1816
#14
12.82.0
13.611.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1
Second
4859
#32
9.71.8
12.110.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End3.0
blue by 2.8
3100
#24
12.52.0
9.97.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.4
End6.5
Third
3298
#26
9.01.8
11.09.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End4.2
blue by 2.6
4624
#46
11.52.0
12.510.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed