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Red32
93020.1
462411.5
25128.5
Blue25
5376.7
179214.6
32128.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4736102030406070803225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#6
20.11.1
20.819.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End6.4
red by 5.5
1792
#28
14.61.1
16.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Second
4624
#46
11.51.1
12.411.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.5
red by 3.4
3212
#43
8.11.1
10.89.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Third
2512
#34
8.51.1
9.88.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.3
red by 1.8
537
#53
6.71.1
7.96.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed