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Red58
171410.3
392611.9
459322.7
Blue70
591332.1
418214.8
304215.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436320801005870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.7
22.222.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End6.9
blue by 9.4
32.11.3
28.930.2
Auto11.6
Teleop14.3
End6.3
Second
3926
#31
11.90.7
11.211.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 3.3
3042
#10
15.31.3
14.315.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Third
1714
#47
10.30.7
9.610.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End5.3
blue by 4.5
4182
#22
14.81.3
13.514.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned