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Red75
282320.8
702130.0
422619.4
Blue80
388319.5
284722.5
181612.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815340601007580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.1
30.730.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End8.1
red by 7.5
22.50.8
21.922.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.7
End8.0
Second
20.80.1
21.521.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End7.2
red by 1.3
19.50.8
18.919.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End9.9
Third
4226
#19
19.40.1
20.020.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 6.5
1816
#14
12.80.8
12.313.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1