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Red51
282320.8
702130.0
422619.4
Blue64
388319.5
284722.5
181612.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815640601005164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.8
30.830.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End8.1
red by 7.5
22.50.1
22.722.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.7
End8.0
Second
20.80.8
21.520.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End7.2
red by 1.3
19.50.1
19.719.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End9.9
Third
4226
#19
19.40.8
20.119.4
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 6.5
1816
#14
12.80.1
13.013.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End6.1