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Red33
569022.1
534817.5
223910.3
Blue36
87629.0
312213.0
286114.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39381020305060703336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.3
12.812.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.8
End3.3
blue by 6.8
876
#6
29.00.5
15.314.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End11.5
Second
5348
#36
17.50.3
12.612.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End6.2
red by 3.3
2861
#28
14.30.5
10.610.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End11.3
Third
2239
#33
10.30.3
9.99.6
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End5.6
blue by 2.6
3122
#23
13.00.5
10.710.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned