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Red34
631810.1
253118.2
451112.1
Blue47
16723.9
51256.7
565321.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273702060803447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#35
18.20.8
12.413.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End8.8
blue by 5.7
167
#4
23.91.5
15.316.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End9.4
Second
4511
#32
12.10.8
8.39.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End5.9
blue by 8.9
21.01.5
12.013.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End8.9
Third
6318
#57
10.10.8
6.16.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End4.3
red by 3.4
5125
#34
6.71.5
6.17.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsEarned