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Red28
621711.3
657411.7
423013.8
Blue32
226421.4
88367.0
451112.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393401020305060702832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#49
13.80.9
12.711.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End2.1
blue by 7.6
2264
#20
21.40.1
14.714.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Second
6574
#38
11.70.9
14.313.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End3.5
blue by 0.4
4511
#32
12.10.1
9.19.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End5.9
Third
6217
#52
11.30.9
8.77.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End4.0
red by 4.3
8836
#45
7.00.1
9.08.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed