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Red33
616015.2
706817.6
779714.5
Blue21
327514.3
310214.2
297713.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3433152025304045503321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7068
#41
17.60.2
10.710.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End5.8
red by 3.4
3275
#22
14.31.1
10.19.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End6.1
Second
6160
#19
15.20.2
10.911.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End7.0
red by 0.9
3102
#47
14.21.1
12.010.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
7797
#30
14.50.2
9.910.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End5.2
red by 0.9
2977
#31
13.61.1
9.07.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed