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Red65
731112.2
374018.6
205231.8
Blue20
78933.2
514310.7
525312.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68270204060801001206520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.7
26.927.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.4
End5.7
red by 19.4
5253
#37
12.41.6
13.211.6
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End6.3
Second
3740
#14
18.60.7
19.620.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End7.1
red by 7.9
5143
#51
10.71.6
11.810.2
Auto4.4
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Third
7311
#27
12.20.7
12.613.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End5.0
red by 9.0
7893
#56
3.21.6
5.33.7
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsMissed