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Red39
222719.4
167518.8
472820.4
Blue19
631810.1
423013.8
51256.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383102060801003919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.4
12.613.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End5.8
red by 6.6
4230
#49
13.81.7
10.89.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End2.1
Second
2227
#29
19.40.4
11.912.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End6.4
red by 9.3
6318
#57
10.11.7
9.57.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End4.3
Third
1675
#15
18.80.4
10.711.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End7.9
red by 12.2
5125
#34
6.71.7
9.88.1
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed