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Red41
47418.7
250115.0
226421.4
Blue56
779714.5
16723.9
614614.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5052304060704156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#20
21.40.6
21.821.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End6.6
blue by 2.5
167
#4
23.90.8
24.825.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End9.4
Second
2501
#42
15.00.6
16.616.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End5.1
red by 0.4
6146
#46
14.60.8
12.513.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End6.6
Third
4741
#55
8.70.6
8.68.0
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End3.3
blue by 5.8
7797
#30
14.50.8
11.312.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned